The GOP convention is over and the polling numbers show GWB with a clear bounce. The electoral college shows GWB in a clear lead if the election were to be held today. States with recent polls showing a candadate winning that state with a margin of more than 2% result in Bush 247 and Kerry 242. That leaves 69 electoral votes as toss ups. Those states include: flordia, 27 electoral votes, GWB ahead by 1.0%; Iowa, 7, Kerry ahaead by 0.9%; New Hampture, 4, Kerry ahead by 1.5%; Pennslyvania, 21, Kerry ahead by 1.4%; Winconsin, 10, GWB ahead by 0.5%.
With less than 60 days till the election, GWB will likely be reelected unless Kerry gets his message out. And there is so much to talk about that isn't being discussed.
It looks to me as if the votors are simpl;y stupid. If we compare GWB's campaign promises 4 years in the past with his actual performance, there is plently of reason not to beleive his campaign promises of 2004. The problem may be that the democratic party is fundamentally flawed in their nomination process?
Personally, I think this election may be good for the party that loses the election. If GWB is defeated, and I hope he is defeated, I think it is likely that the GOP will take a close look at the role of the religious right in the party. If the democrats lose, I think it is likely that this democrats will examine what makes them different from the GOP.